Bo Nix or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Bo Nix at 16.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 31st highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 51st highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Bo Nix: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 94th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Bo Nix has been on the field for 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and thrown 5.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 15 of 143 dropbacks and scrambled 3 times.

In Week 2 against JAX he completed 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 9 yards.

In Week 3 against LAR he completed 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 7 yards.

In Week 4 against SF he completed 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 10 yards.

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Bo Nix played 17 games and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He threw for 3931 yards on 612 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 36.0 attempts a game at 6.4 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Bo Nix scored 18.6 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 4.9 a game between them.

Bo Nix finished QB7 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Bo Nix had 336 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 612 to 276.

Bo Nix had 1949 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 3931 to 1982.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Bo Nix is off in Week 10 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

1.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.