Dak Prescott or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Dak Prescott at 18.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 16th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 51st highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Dak Prescott: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 61st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Dak Prescott has been on the field for 100 percent of DAL snaps, dropped back 167 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 26 of 167 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 2 against WAS he completed 26 of 31 passes for 279 yards, threw 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 26 yards.

In Week 3 against BAL he completed 25 of 40 passes for 276 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.

In Week 4 against HOU he completed 32 of 45 passes for 335 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 7 yards.

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Dak Prescott played 17 games and scored 323.8 PPR points, 19.0 a game, finishing QB6.

He threw for 4552 yards on 600 attempts with 30 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 177 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 35.3 attempts a game at 7.6 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Dak Prescott was available for 8 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Dak Prescott scored 19.0 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 5.3 a game between them.

Dak Prescott finished QB6 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Dak Prescott had 324 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 600 to 276.

Dak Prescott had 2570 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 4552 to 1982.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Dak Prescott is off in Week 14 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

3.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.