Track Record

Live since June 21, 2026. Every pick logged at publish time, graded against real settled results — no backfill, no re-pricing. See the math.

Parlae is a free sports-betting analytics platform. It publishes every model pick with a timestamped, publicly graded record — wins, losses and pushes settled against official final results at the price recommended at publish time. Parlae is not a sportsbook: it takes no bets, holds no funds and sells no picks.

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How to read these numbers

Every number is real and logged live.

Each pick is captured the moment the engine publishes it — with the exact price, line, book and timestamp — then graded against the official final. Nothing is added after the fact. See the full methodology.

Win rate vs. ROI — they measure different things.

Win rate is how often a pick cashes. ROI is profit ÷ total staked at a flat 1-unit bet. You can win under 50% of bets on underdogs and still be profitable — ROI is the number that matters.

Small samples are flagged, not hidden.

A win rate over a handful of bets is noise. Any market type or sport with fewer than 30 decided picks is marked small sample and shouldn't be read as a claim yet.

Past results don't guarantee future ones.

A positive expected-value edge plays out over the long run — never on any single bet, day, or week. Variance is real, losing stretches are normal, and no result here is a promise of profit.

21+ (18+ where legally permitted). Please play responsibly. Parlae is an informational analytics platform, not a sportsbook — no wagers are placed here, and nothing on this page is financial advice or a guarantee of profit. Only bet what you can afford to lose. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER, visit ncpgambling.org, or read our responsible gambling resources.

Model calibration

predicted vs. actual

Decided picks

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Brier

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lower is better · 0.25 = coin flip

Avg miss

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predicted vs actual gap

Calibration fills in as graded results accrue. A well-calibrated model wins ~60% of the bets it prices at 60%.

Daily results log

one row per day · most recent first

Each row is the prior day's graded top +EV plays, settled against the official final at the recommended price. 1u flat stake. "all" is the cross-sport rollup; sport rows let you spot a hot streak that's hiding a cold streak in another league.

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Public leaderboard

opt-in · aggregates only

Opt-in only. Aggregate stats — no individual bets, no PII.

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