Courtland Sutton or Brian Thomas Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Courtland Sutton at 9.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 92nd highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Brian Thomas Jr. at 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 129th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Courtland Sutton: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 76th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brian Thomas Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 129th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Courtland Sutton has been on the field for 78 percent of DEN snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 17 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 7 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 1 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 16 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 11.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against JAX he caught 3 of 4 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against LAR he caught 3 of 7 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against SF he caught 1 of 6 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 47 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 14 percent of the targets and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 22 third down targets, had 0 of its 7 chances inside the five and seen 3 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have averaged 10.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against DEN he caught 3 of 8 targets for 40 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 1 of 1 target for 8 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 2 of 2 targets for 17 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Courtland Sutton played 17 games and scored 219.7 PPR points, 12.9 a game, finishing WR13.

He caught 74 of 124 targets for 1017 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets.

That came to 7.3 targets a game, a 60 percent catch rate and 13.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6.5 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Courtland Sutton was available for 3 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Courtland Sutton scored 12.9 PPR points a game and Brian Thomas Jr. 9.9, 3.0 a game between them.

Courtland Sutton finished WR13 that year and Brian Thomas Jr. WR42.

Courtland Sutton had 33 more targets than Brian Thomas Jr., 124 to 91.

Courtland Sutton had 310 more receiving yards than Brian Thomas Jr., 1017 to 707.

This season Courtland Sutton holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 47 percent.

This season Courtland Sutton holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 14 percent.

Byes and availability

Courtland Sutton is off in Week 10 and Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.