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Should I start Brian Thomas Jr. or Kayshon Boutte in Week 9?

Updated Nov 4, 5:06 AM ET.

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Week 9 verdict

Start Brian Thomas Jr. over Kayshon Boutte

Thomas projects lower, 3.7 to 4.6, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 72 for Thomas, 189 for Boutte.

Start

WR · JAX · at BAL

Market projects
3.7
fantasy pts
BAL D vs WR
35.0
8th most to WRs (2026)
Upside
Rising
72 of 100 at WR
Snap share
52%
Through Week 8
Target share
12%
Through Week 8
Sit

WR · HOU · at LAC

Market projects
4.6
recent weeks avg
LAC D vs WR
30.3
16th fewest to WRs (2026)
Upside
Limited
21 of 100 at WR
Snap share
54%
Through Week 7
Target share
10%
Through Week 7
Start Thomas or Boutte? The full Week 9 breakdown

Start Brian Thomas Jr.: 52 percent of the snaps and 12 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Kayshon Boutte's 44 percent of the snaps and 11 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Kayshon Boutte?

Yes, on the rest of the season. Kayshon Boutte projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Kayshon Boutte. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

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Your next move

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.

Both players' season market-based projection, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers.

WR44 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 2-5

Market-based projection
3.7 pts a game

WR85 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 0-6

Overall rank
178

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The gap

  • Board size306 draftable players

Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Brian Thomas Jr., and the board ranks him 108th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Kayshon Boutte, and the board ranks him 178th overall on the rest of his evidence.

The market-based projections

Brian Thomas Jr.'s market-based projection is 3.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 119th highest figure of the 219 players with a market-based projection.

The market-based projection for Kayshon Boutte is 0.7 PPR points a game off 1 market across 8 market sources. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Kayshon Boutte's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season so far

Through Week 8, Brian Thomas Jr. has been on the field for 52 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 12 percent of the targets and had 25 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 5 third down targets.

His 2 targets have averaged 19.0 air yards.

In Week 8 against IND he caught 1 of 2 targets for 12 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 7, Kayshon Boutte has been on the field for 54 percent of HOU snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 54 third down targets, had 0 of its 14 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 23 targets have averaged 12.2 air yards.

In Week 5 against TEN he caught 3 of 5 targets for 38 yards and did not score.

In Week 6 against JAX he caught 2 of 3 targets for 16 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against NYG he caught 1 of 2 targets for 25 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. played 14 games and scored 138.8 PPR points, 9.9 a game, finishing WR42.

He caught 48 of 91 targets for 707 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 6-7 targets a game, a 53 percent catch rate and 14.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 79 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Kayshon Boutte played 14 games and scored 124.1 PPR points, 8.9 a game, finishing WR51.

He caught 33 of 46 targets for 551 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 3.3 targets a game, a 72 percent catch rate and 16.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 68 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 14 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Brian Thomas Jr. scored 9.9 PPR points a game and Kayshon Boutte 8.9, 1.1 a game between them.

Brian Thomas Jr. finished WR42 that year and Kayshon Boutte WR51.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 45 more targets than Kayshon Boutte, 91 to 46.

Brian Thomas Jr. had 156 more receiving yards than Kayshon Boutte, 707 to 551.

This season Kayshon Boutte holds the bigger snap share, 54 percent against 52 percent.

This season Brian Thomas Jr. holds the bigger target share, 12 percent against 10 percent.

Byes and availability

Brian Thomas Jr. is off in Week 7 and Kayshon Boutte in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Kayshon Boutte has only a partial projection, so the market half of this page is whole for only one of them.

Drop or keep

  • Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr. for Kayshon Boutte?

    Yes, on the rest of the season. Kayshon Boutte projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Kayshon Boutte. So make the move after his Week 9 game.

  • Should I drop Kayshon Boutte for Brian Thomas Jr.?

    No. Keep Kayshon Boutte: he projects 56 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (6.2 a game over 9 games), Brian Thomas Jr. 49 (5.4 a game over 9 games). For Week 9 the call starts Brian Thomas Jr. over Kayshon Boutte.

Should I drop Brian Thomas Jr.?

Both players in full

Week 9 on the board

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