Trevor Lawrence or David Montgomery: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Trevor Lawrence at 17.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 20th highest figure of the 217 players the market prices.

The player markets price David Montgomery at 10.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 85th highest figure of the 217 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Trevor Lawrence: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on David Montgomery: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 68th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 33.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence has been on the field for 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and thrown 8.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 22 of 113 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 2 against DEN he completed 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 2 times for 6 yards.

In Week 3 against NE he completed 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 25 yards.

In Week 4 against CIN he completed 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, David Montgomery has been on the field for 54 percent of HOU snaps, taken 52 percent of the carries, drawn 5 percent of the targets and had 35 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 32 third down targets, had 3 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 3.6 air yards.

In Week 2 against CIN he carried 6 times for 10 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 14 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against IND he carried 11 times for 33 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 15 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against DAL he carried 10 times for 24 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence played 17 games and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He threw for 4007 yards on 560 attempts with 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

That came to 32.9 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 David Montgomery played 17 games and scored 166.9 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing RB27.

He carried 158 times for 716 yards and 8 touchdowns, and caught 24 of 29 targets for 192 more yards.

That came to 9.3 carries a game at 4.5 yards a carry and 1.4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 37 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Trevor Lawrence scored 20.6 PPR points a game and David Montgomery 9.8, 10.8 a game between them.

Trevor Lawrence finished QB4 and David Montgomery RB27, which are two different ladders.

Trevor Lawrence is a quarterback and David Montgomery a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Trevor Lawrence is off in Week 7 and David Montgomery in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

6.7 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.