Josh Allen or Derrick Henry: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Josh Allen at 22.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 204 players the market prices.

The player markets price Derrick Henry at 15.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 204 players the market prices.

Where the draft room has them

Josh Allen goes at ADP 1, an average pick of 24.3, and the board has him QB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 37, a standard deviation of 9.0 picks.

He appears in 16 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Derrick Henry: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Josh Allen has been on the field for 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and thrown 9.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 136 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against DET he completed 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 11 times for 72 yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he completed 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 7 times for 23 yards.

In Week 4 against NE he completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 59 percent of BAL snaps, taken 73 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 25 third down targets, had 11 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have come 4.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against NO he carried 16 times for 68 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 26 times for 89 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 23 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Derrick Henry 16.4, 5.6 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 and Derrick Henry RB8, which are two different ladders.

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Derrick Henry a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Derrick Henry in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.