Derrick Henry or Zay Flowers: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Derrick Henry at 15.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 38th highest figure of the 204 players the market prices.

The player markets price Zay Flowers at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 204 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Derrick Henry: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 25th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zay Flowers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 27th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 59 percent of BAL snaps, taken 73 percent of the carries, drawn 7 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 25 third down targets, had 11 of its 18 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have come 4.3 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 2 against NO he carried 16 times for 68 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 26 times for 89 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against TEN he carried 23 times for 73 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 45 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 18 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 10.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against IND he caught 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 1 time for 20 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Zay Flowers 14.3, 2.1 a game between them.

Derrick Henry finished RB8 and Zay Flowers WR7, which are two different ladders.

Derrick Henry is a running back and Zay Flowers a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

Zay Flowers is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.9 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.