Jake Ferguson or Isaiah Williams: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Jake Ferguson at 8.1 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Isaiah Williams at 6.7 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 123rd highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 119th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Isaiah Williams: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 69 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 38 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against WAS he caught 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Isaiah Williams has been on the field for 79 percent of NYJ snaps, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 29 third down targets, had 0 of its 8 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 12 targets have averaged 7.0 air yards.

In Week 2 against GB he carried 1 time for 14 yards, caught 6 of 6 targets for 34 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against DET he caught 1 of 2 targets for 21 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CHI he caught 2 of 3 targets for 73 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Isaiah Williams played 15 games and scored 58.7 PPR points, 3.9 a game, finishing WR98.

He caught 26 of 36 targets for 193 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 1 red zone target.

That came to 2.4 targets a game, a 72 percent catch rate and 7.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 36 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 2 games more.

Side by side

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Isaiah Williams 3.9, 7.2 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 and Isaiah Williams WR98, which are two different ladders.

Jake Ferguson is a tight end and Isaiah Williams a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

What would change the answer

1.5 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.