Jake Ferguson or Michael Mayer: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Jake Ferguson at 8.2 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 17 market sources. That is the 105th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Mayer at 7.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 108th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jake Ferguson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 114th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Mayer: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 117th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Jake Ferguson has been on the field for 69 percent of DAL snaps, drawn 10 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 38 third down targets, had 1 of its 19 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 24 two minute targets.

His 15 targets have averaged 4.3 air yards.

In Week 2 against WAS he caught 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 3 against BAL he caught 3 of 5 targets for 23 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against HOU he caught 3 of 4 targets for 11 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Michael Mayer has been on the field for 85 percent of LV snaps, drawn 18 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 39 third down targets, had 1 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 4.8 air yards.

In Week 2 against LAC he caught 3 of 4 targets for 23 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against NO he caught 3 of 3 targets for 32 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against KC he caught 8 of 10 targets for 82 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jake Ferguson played 17 games and scored 188.1 PPR points, 11.1 a game, finishing TE5.

He caught 82 of 102 targets for 600 yards and 8 touchdowns, with 23 red zone targets.

That came to 6.0 targets a game, a 80 percent catch rate and 7.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Mayer played 13 games and scored 73.8 PPR points, 5.7 a game, finishing TE38.

He caught 35 of 50 targets for 328 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.8 targets a game, a 70 percent catch rate and 9.4 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 57 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Jake Ferguson was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Jake Ferguson scored 11.1 PPR points a game and Michael Mayer 5.7, 5.4 a game between them.

Jake Ferguson finished TE5 that year and Michael Mayer TE38.

Jake Ferguson had 52 more targets than Michael Mayer, 102 to 50.

Jake Ferguson had 272 more receiving yards than Michael Mayer, 600 to 328.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 69 percent.

This season Michael Mayer holds the bigger target share, 18 percent against 10 percent.

What would change the answer

0.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.