Josh Allen or Michael Wilson: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Josh Allen at 22.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Wilson at 15.7 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 34th highest figure of the 219 players the market prices.

Where the draft room has them

Josh Allen goes at ADP 1, an average pick of 24.3, and the board has him QB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 37, a standard deviation of 9.0 picks.

He appears in 16 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 18th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Josh Allen has been on the field for 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 136 times and thrown 9.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 21 of 136 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against DET he completed 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 11 times for 72 yards.

In Week 3 against LAC he completed 16 of 26 passes for 204 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 7 times for 23 yards.

In Week 4 against NE he completed 23 of 33 passes for 253 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 4 yards.

Through Week 4, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 91 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 11 of the offence's 37 third down targets, had 4 of its 16 chances inside the five and seen 13 of its 33 two minute targets.

His 44 targets have averaged 9.5 air yards.

In Week 2 against SEA he caught 2 of 7 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against SF he caught 11 of 17 targets for 89 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYG he caught 7 of 13 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Side by side

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 9.1 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 and Michael Wilson WR10, which are two different ladders.

Josh Allen is a quarterback and Michael Wilson a wide receiver, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

7.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.