Michael Penix Jr. or Justin Herbert: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 12.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 70th highest figure of the 218 players the market prices.

The player markets price Justin Herbert at 12.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 72nd highest figure of the 218 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 161st overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Justin Herbert: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 164th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 23; 2QB: ADP 12.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Justin Herbert has been on the field for 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 144 times and thrown 8.8 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 30 of 144 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.

In Week 2 against LV he completed 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 2 yards.

In Week 3 against BUF he completed 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 17 yards.

In Week 4 against SEA he completed 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 6 times for 40 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Justin Herbert played 16 games and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He threw for 3727 yards on 512 attempts with 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 32.0 attempts a game at 7.3 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Justin Herbert scored 18.7 PPR points a game and Michael Penix Jr. 13.7, 5.0 a game between them.

Michael Penix Jr. finished QB33 that year and Justin Herbert QB10.

Justin Herbert had 236 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 512 to 276.

Justin Herbert had 1745 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 3727 to 1982.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

This season Justin Herbert holds the bigger target share, 1 percent against 0 percent.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11 and Justin Herbert in Week 7, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.