Luther Burden III or Mike Evans: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Luther Burden III at 11.3 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 74th highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

The player markets price Mike Evans at 10.7 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 83rd highest figure of the 184 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Luther Burden III: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 48th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 41.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Mike Evans: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 54th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has been on the field for 61 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 24 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 5 of the offence's 33 third down targets, had 1 of its 21 chances inside the five and seen 6 of its 21 two minute targets.

His 29 targets have averaged 8.2 air yards.

In Week 2 against MIN he caught 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against PHI he carried 1 time for 7 yards, caught 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 4 against NYJ he carried 1 time for 11 yards, caught 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards and did not score.

Through Week 4, Mike Evans has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 13.1 air yards.

In Week 2 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 54 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against ARI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 34 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 5 of 8 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Luther Burden III played 15 games and scored 127.9 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing WR48.

He caught 47 of 60 targets for 652 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 4 red zone targets.

That came to 4.0 targets a game, a 78 percent catch rate and 13.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Mike Evans played 8 games and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 7.6 targets a game, a 49 percent catch rate and 12.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Luther Burden III was available for 7 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Mike Evans scored 10.6 PPR points a game and Luther Burden III 8.5, 2.1 a game between them.

Luther Burden III finished WR48 that year and Mike Evans WR76.

Mike Evans had 1 more targets than Luther Burden III, 61 to 60.

Luther Burden III had 284 more receiving yards than Mike Evans, 652 to 368.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger snap share, 61 percent against 57 percent.

This season Luther Burden III holds the bigger target share, 24 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Luther Burden III is off in Week 10 and Mike Evans in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.6 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.