Start Luther Burden III or Mike Evans? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Luther Burden III over Mike Evans
- Market projects
- 11.4
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 10.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 57%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 22%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Luther Burden III over Mike Evans in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Luther Burden III at 11.4 points and Mike Evans at 10.7, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Luther Burden III, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Luther Burden III at 49.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 10.7 fantasy points for Mike Evans, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Mike Evans at 48.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (16, 11 and 15 market sources).
That puts Luther Burden III 0.7 points ahead of Mike Evans on the market projections.
Injury status
Luther Burden III is not on the injury report.
Mike Evans is listed as questionable with a ribs injury.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Mike Evans played 57 percent of SF snaps, drew 22 percent of the targets, earned 36 percent of the air yards and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.
Mike Evans, Week 1 against LAR: 49 of 65 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown.
Mike Evans, Week 2 against MIA: 28 of 52 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards.
Mike Evans, Week 3 against ARI: 18 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 34 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Mike Evans, Week 4 against DEN: 39 of 66 snaps, 8 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Mike Evans played 8 games for TB and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.
He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 331 air yards.
He was on the field for 65 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR20 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 48
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 11
Ranked behind
WR24 · SF · bye 8
2026 vs anytime td line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 53
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board5
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 11 and tier 12
- Board size223 draftable players
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