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Start C.J. Stroud or Aaron Rodgers? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers

Market projects
14.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
14.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
99%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers in Week 5.

Market-based projections have C.J. Stroud at 14.7 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.5, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 14.7 fantasy points for C.J. Stroud, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has C.J. Stroud at 240.5 passing yards, 0.5 interceptions and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (13, 8, 14 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Aaron Rodgers at 222.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (12, 15, 5 and 14 market sources).

That puts C.J. Stroud 0.1 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Injury status

C.J. Stroud is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, C.J. Stroud played 100 percent of HOU snaps, dropped back 166 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

C.J. Stroud, Week 1 against BUF: 79 of 79 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 274 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 15 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 2 against CIN: 80 of 80 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 353 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 29 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 3 against IND: 54 of 54 snaps, 16 of 27 passes for 167 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

C.J. Stroud, Week 4 against DAL: 55 of 55 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 347 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.

Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, C.J. Stroud played 14 games for HOU and scored 216.5 PPR points, 15.5 a game, finishing QB21.

He completed 273 of 423 passes for 3041 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 48 times for 209 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB22 · HOU · bye 8

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
117
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

Ranked behind

QB24 · PIT · bye 9

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
120
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 8
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board