Start Carnell Tate or AJ Barner? Week 4
Locked at kickoff. Graded after.
Start Carnell Tate over AJ Barner
Right: 21.5 to 2.2
- Market projected
- 10.1
- pre-game
- Snap share
- 84%
- Week 4
- Target share
- 43%
- Week 4
- Scored
- 21.5
- PPR pts
- Market projected
- 8.2
- pre-game
- Scored
- 2.2
- PPR pts
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Our Week 4 call
Start Carnell Tate over AJ Barner in Week 4.
Market-based projections have Carnell Tate at 10.1 points and AJ Barner at 8.2, a gap of 2.0.
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What the market projects
Player markets imply 8.2 fantasy points for AJ Barner, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has AJ Barner at 30.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 26% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 16 market sources).
Player markets imply 10.1 fantasy points for Carnell Tate, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Carnell Tate at 43.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (17, 13 and 17 market sources).
That puts Carnell Tate 2.0 points ahead of AJ Barner on the market projections.
Injury status
AJ Barner was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Carnell Tate was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Usage before Week 4
Through Week 3, Carnell Tate played 84 percent of TEN snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 39 percent of the air yards and had 4 percent of the red zone chances.
Carnell Tate, Week 1 against NYJ: 44 of 50 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 38 yards.
Carnell Tate, Week 2 against PHI: 40 of 53 snaps, 5 targets and 3 catches for 27 yards.
Carnell Tate, Week 3 against NYG: 53 of 60 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 58 yards.
How Week 4 went
Carnell Tate scored 21.5 PPR points and AJ Barner scored 2.2.
The call was right: Carnell Tate outscored AJ Barner by 19.3.
Carnell Tate finished 11.4 points above the 10.1 the market projected.
Carnell Tate, Week 4 against BAL: 54 of 64 snaps, 12 targets and 9 catches for 145 yards, 21.5 PPR points.
Carnell Tate finished as the week's WR11 in PPR scoring.
AJ Barner finished 6.0 points below the 8.2 the market projected.
Their other Week 4 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR23 · TEN · bye 9
2026 vs anytime td line 0-4
- Overall rank
- 51
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
Ranked behind
TE22 · SEA · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 138
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board87
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 12 and tier 6
- Board size248 draftable players
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