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Start Bo Nix or Daniel Jones? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Bo Nix over Daniel Jones

Start

Bo Nix

QB

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
15.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Bo Nix over Daniel Jones in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.5 points and Daniel Jones at 15.3, a gap of 1.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Bo Nix at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16, 15 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Daniel Jones at 214.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 16% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Bo Nix 1.2 points ahead of Daniel Jones on the market projections.

Injury status

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 4, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 144 times and threw an average of 5.8 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 2 against KC: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 3 against HOU: 71 of 71 snaps, 24 of 36 passes for 235 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 5 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 4 against WAS: 66 of 66 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 143 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB13 · DEN · bye 10

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
91
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

Ranked behind

QB24 · IND · bye 13

2026 vs pass yds line 1-3

Overall rank
114
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board23
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 7
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board