Start Bo Nix or Justin Herbert? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 16.1
- fantasy pts
- DEN D vs QB
- 18.1
- 12th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Bo Nix over Justin Herbert in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Bo Nix at 16.5 points and Justin Herbert at 16.1, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Bo Nix at 223.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 14.5 rushing yards, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15, 15 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.1 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Justin Herbert at 199.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 15% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15, 15 and 14 market sources).
That puts Bo Nix 0.4 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Justin Herbert and LAC host DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.
DEN allowed 18.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 12th most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against DEN, with an interception.
Injury status
Bo Nix is not on the injury report.
Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 143 times and threw an average of 5.4 air yards per attempt.
Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 2 against JAX: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 3 against LAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 17 of 34 passes for 186 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 7 yards.
Bo Nix, Week 4 against SF: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 214 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 10 yards.
Through Week 4, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 144 times and threw an average of 8.8 air yards per attempt.
Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 2 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 3 against BUF: 69 of 69 snaps, 20 of 34 passes for 226 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 17 yards.
Justin Herbert, Week 4 against SEA: 71 of 71 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 189 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 6 carries for 40 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.
He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.
He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB13 · DEN · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 91
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
Ranked behind
QB18 · LAC · bye 7
2026 vs pass yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 98
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board7
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 7
- Board size219 draftable players
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