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Start Keenan Allen or Brian Thomas Jr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Keenan Allen over Brian Thomas Jr.

Start

Keenan Allen

WR · Questionable

Market projects
6.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
64%
Through Week 3
Target share
21%
Through Week 3
Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Keenan Allen over Brian Thomas Jr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Keenan Allen at 6.6 points and Brian Thomas Jr. at 6.5, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Keenan Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Keenan Allen at 27.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 19% chance to score a touchdown (11, 9 and 13 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Brian Thomas Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Brian Thomas Jr. at 24.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Keenan Allen 0.1 points ahead of Brian Thomas Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Keenan Allen is listed as questionable with a groin injury.

Brian Thomas Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 3, Keenan Allen played 64 percent of IND snaps, drew 21 percent of the targets, earned 19 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keenan Allen, Week 1 against BAL: 36 of 54 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 32 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 2 against KC: 33 of 65 snaps, 5 targets and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Keenan Allen, Week 3 against HOU: 52 of 71 snaps, 9 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keenan Allen played 17 games for LAC and scored 182.7 PPR points, 10.7 a game, finishing WR29.

He caught 81 of 122 targets for 777 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 546 air yards.

He was on the field for 55 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR42 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs anytime td line 4-13

Overall rank
110
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
16

Ranked behind

WR47 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
128
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
18

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board18
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 16 and tier 18
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board