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Start Bucky Irving or TreVeyon Henderson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start TreVeyon Henderson over Bucky Irving

Market projects
11.5
fantasy pts
Snap share
43%
Through Week 4
Target share
3%
Through Week 4
Market projects
11.4
fantasy pts
Snap share
62%
Through Week 4
Target share
12%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start TreVeyon Henderson over Bucky Irving in Week 5.

Market-based projections have TreVeyon Henderson at 11.5 points and Bucky Irving at 11.4, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. TreVeyon Henderson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on TreVeyon Henderson is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.5 fantasy points for TreVeyon Henderson, with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives TreVeyon Henderson a 47% chance to score a touchdown (14 market sources).

Player markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Bucky Irving, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Bucky Irving at 51.5 rushing yards, 12.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 33% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 16 and 16 market sources).

That puts TreVeyon Henderson 0.1 points ahead of Bucky Irving on the market projections.

Injury status

TreVeyon Henderson is not on the injury report.

Bucky Irving is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, TreVeyon Henderson played 43 percent of NE snaps, took 45 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

TreVeyon Henderson, Week 2 against PIT: 33 of 55 snaps, 16 carries for 76 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

TreVeyon Henderson, Week 3 against JAX: 23 of 63 snaps, 8 carries for 23 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards.

TreVeyon Henderson, Week 4 against BUF: 28 of 76 snaps, 14 carries for 42 yards, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Through Week 4, Bucky Irving played 62 percent of TB snaps, took 58 percent of the carries, drew 12 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Bucky Irving, Week 1 against CIN: 35 of 57 snaps, 8 carries for 45 yards, 7 targets and 7 catches for 48 yards, 1 touchdown.

Bucky Irving, Week 2 against CLE: 51 of 65 snaps, 17 carries for 89 yards, 4 targets and 4 catches for 1 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 3 against MIN: 36 of 69 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards.

Bucky Irving, Week 4 against GB: 37 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 61 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, TreVeyon Henderson played 17 games for NE and scored 206.2 PPR points, 12.1 a game, finishing RB21.

He ran 180 times for 911 yards and 9 touchdowns, and caught 35 of 42 targets for 221 yards.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Bucky Irving played 10 games for TB and scored 138.5 PPR points, 13.9 a game, finishing RB34.

He ran 173 times for 588 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 30 of 35 targets for 277 yards.

He was on the field for 62 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB20 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
53
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB44 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs catches line 6-11

Overall rank
160
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board107
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 13
  • Board size224 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board