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Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba or Chris Olave? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Chris Olave

Market projects
20.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
82%
Through Week 4
Target share
37%
Through Week 4
Sit

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs MIN

Market projects
17.0
fantasy pts
MIN D vs WR
30.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
85%
Through Week 4
Target share
28%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Jaxon Smith-Njigba over Chris Olave in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 20.2 points and Chris Olave at 17.0, a gap of 3.2.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 20.2 fantasy points for Jaxon Smith-Njigba, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 93.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (16, 11 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Chris Olave at 81.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 32% chance to score a touchdown (14, 9 and 15 market sources).

That puts Jaxon Smith-Njigba 3.2 points ahead of Chris Olave on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 30.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIN.

Injury status

Jaxon Smith-Njigba is not on the injury report.

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 82 percent of SEA snaps, drew 37 percent of the targets, earned 50 percent of the air yards and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 1 against NE: 45 of 50 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 122 yards, 1 touchdown.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 2 against ARI: 47 of 70 snaps, 11 targets and 9 catches for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 3 against WAS: 58 of 67 snaps, 14 targets and 10 catches for 128 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Week 4 against LAC: 53 of 60 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 76 yards.

Through Week 4, Chris Olave played 85 percent of NO snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 3 against LV: 62 of 74 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 107 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 4 against ATL: 64 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 8 catches for 116 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxon Smith-Njigba played 17 games for SEA and scored 359.9 PPR points, 21.2 a game, finishing WR2.

He caught 119 of 163 targets for 1793 yards and 10 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 1265 air yards.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR3 · SEA · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
5
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

Ranked behind

WR5 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
14
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board9
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 2 and tier 4
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board