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Start Chris Olave or Nico Collins? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chris Olave over Nico Collins

Start

Chris Olave

WR · NO · vs MIN

Market projects
17.0
fantasy pts
MIN D vs WR
30.1
14th fewest to WRs (2026)
Snap share
85%
Through Week 4
Target share
28%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.8
fantasy pts
Snap share
71%
Through Week 4
Target share
29%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Chris Olave over Nico Collins in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Chris Olave at 17.0 points and Nico Collins at 16.8, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Chris Olave at 81.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 32% chance to score a touchdown (14, 9 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Nico Collins, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Nico Collins at 79.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 42% chance to score a touchdown (12, 9 and 12 market sources).

That puts Chris Olave 0.2 points ahead of Nico Collins on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 30.1 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 14th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 148 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIN.

Injury status

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Nico Collins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Chris Olave played 85 percent of NO snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 44 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chris Olave, Week 3 against LV: 62 of 74 snaps, 13 targets and 9 catches for 107 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 4 against ATL: 64 of 74 snaps, 12 targets and 8 catches for 116 yards.

Through Week 4, Nico Collins played 71 percent of HOU snaps, drew 29 percent of the targets, earned 33 percent of the air yards and had 23 percent of the red zone chances.

Nico Collins, Week 1 against BUF: 57 of 79 snaps, 1 carry for 7 yards, 10 targets and 7 catches for 75 yards, 1 touchdown.

Nico Collins, Week 4 against DAL: 38 of 55 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Nico Collins played 15 games for HOU and scored 226.2 PPR points, 15.1 a game, finishing WR8.

He caught 71 of 120 targets for 1117 yards and 6 touchdowns, with 16 red zone targets and 793 air yards.

He was on the field for 77 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Nico Collins, Week 17 of 2025 against LAC: 44 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 57 yards, 8.7 PPR points.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR5 · NO · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
14
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

WR7 · HOU · bye 8

2025 vs rec yds line 7-8

Overall rank
17
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board3
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size219 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board