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Start Christian Watson or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 4

Locked at kickoff. Graded after.

Start Christian Watson over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Wrong: 7.7 to 9.5
Start

Christian Watson

RB · final

Market projected
12.1
pre-game
Scored
7.7
PPR pts
Sit

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · final

Market projected
5.7
pre-game
Scored
9.5
PPR pts

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Our Week 4 call

Start Christian Watson over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Christian Watson at 12.1 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 5.7, a gap of 6.4. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 12.1 fantasy points for Christian Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

Player markets imply 5.7 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market gives Chris Rodriguez Jr. a 28% chance to score a touchdown (10 market sources).

That puts Christian Watson 6.4 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Christian Watson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

How Week 4 went

Christian Watson scored 7.7 PPR points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 9.5.

The call was wrong: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Christian Watson by 1.8.

Christian Watson finished 4.4 points below the 12.1 the market projected.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 3.8 points above the 5.7 the market projected.

Their other Week 4 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR16 · GB · bye 11

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
35
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB37 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
136
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. This call locked at kickoff and was not edited after. It is on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board101
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 13
  • Board size224 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board