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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Kenny Gainwell? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Kenny Gainwell

Market projects
6.5
fantasy pts
Market projects
5.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
42%
Through Week 4
Target share
10%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Kenny Gainwell in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 6.5 points and Kenny Gainwell at 5.1, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 6.5 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 26.5 rushing yards, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (11 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 5.1 fantasy points for Kenny Gainwell, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Kenny Gainwell at 12.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (12, 15, 13 and 16 market sources).

That puts Chris Rodriguez Jr. 1.4 points ahead of Kenny Gainwell on the market projections.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Kenny Gainwell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kenny Gainwell played 42 percent of TB snaps, took 14 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 13 percent of the red zone chances.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 1 against CIN: 26 of 57 snaps, 5 carries for 15 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 3 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 2 against CLE: 23 of 65 snaps, 2 carries for 10 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 5 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 3 against MIN: 32 of 69 snaps, 3 carries for -4 yards, 5 targets and 2 catches for 14 yards.

Kenny Gainwell, Week 4 against GB: 27 of 64 snaps, 3 carries for 5 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kenny Gainwell played 17 games for PIT and scored 222.3 PPR points, 13.1 a game, finishing RB16.

He ran 114 times for 537 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 73 of 85 targets for 486 yards.

He was on the field for 49 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB37 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
135
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
11

Ranked behind

RB41 · TB · bye 10

2026 vs carries line 0-4

Overall rank
149
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
12

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board14
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 11 and tier 12
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board