Start Dalton Kincaid or Isaiah Likely? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Isaiah Likely in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 10.7 points and Isaiah Likely at 10.5, a gap of 0.2. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.7 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Dalton Kincaid at 49.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.5 fantasy points for Isaiah Likely, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Isaiah Likely at 41.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.2 points ahead of Isaiah Likely on the market projections.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Isaiah Likely is listed as questionable with a knee injury.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 2 against DET: 49 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 3 against LAC: 44 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Through Week 4, Isaiah Likely played 67 percent of NYG snaps, drew 32 percent of the targets, earned 23 percent of the air yards and had 19 percent of the red zone chances.

Isaiah Likely, Week 1 against DAL: 34 of 69 snaps, 8 targets and 8 catches for 78 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Isaiah Likely, Week 2 against LAR: 40 of 58 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 33 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 3 against TEN: 54 of 64 snaps, 5 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.

Isaiah Likely, Week 4 against ARI: 44 of 67 snaps, 12 targets and 7 catches for 66 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Isaiah Likely played 14 games for BAL and scored 61.7 PPR points, 4.4 a game, finishing TE45.

He caught 27 of 36 targets for 307 yards and 1 touchdown, with 6 red zone targets and 190 air yards.

He was on the field for 58 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Brenton Strange.
• Start Brock Bowers over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Brenton Strange.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Colston Loveland.
• Start Isaiah Likely over Dalton Schultz.