Start Dalton Kincaid or Juwan Johnson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Dalton Kincaid over Juwan Johnson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Dalton Kincaid at 10.7 points and Juwan Johnson at 10.3, a gap of 0.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.7 fantasy points for Dalton Kincaid, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Dalton Kincaid at 49.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 31% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 10.3 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

The market has Juwan Johnson at 42.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 9 and 15 market sources).

That puts Dalton Kincaid 0.4 points ahead of Juwan Johnson on the market projections.

Injury status

Dalton Kincaid is not on the injury report.

Juwan Johnson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Dalton Kincaid played 66 percent of BUF snaps, drew 17 percent of the targets, earned 21 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 1 against HOU: 42 of 58 snaps, 6 targets and 5 catches for 130 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 2 against DET: 49 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 7 catches for 95 yards, 1 touchdown.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 3 against LAC: 44 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 38 yards.

Dalton Kincaid, Week 4 against NE: 35 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 7 yards.

Through Week 4, Juwan Johnson played 71 percent of NO snaps, drew 16 percent of the targets, earned 11 percent of the air yards and had 16 percent of the red zone chances.

Juwan Johnson, Week 1 against DET: 76 of 90 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown.

Juwan Johnson, Week 2 against BAL: 36 of 68 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 66 yards.

Juwan Johnson, Week 3 against LV: 46 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 8 catches for 53 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Juwan Johnson, Week 4 against ATL: 58 of 74 snaps, 8 targets and 6 catches for 59 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dalton Kincaid played 12 games for BUF and scored 126.1 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE20.

He caught 39 of 49 targets for 571 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets and 312 air yards.

He was on the field for 40 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Dalton Kincaid over Brenton Strange.
• Start Brock Bowers over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Cade Otton.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Colston Loveland.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Dalton Schultz.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Harold Fannin Jr..