Start Dawson Knox or Theo Johnson? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Dawson Knox over Theo Johnson

- Market projects
- 3.7
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 69%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 1.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 31%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 5%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Dawson Knox over Theo Johnson in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Dawson Knox at 3.7 points and Theo Johnson at 1.6, a gap of 2.1. Dawson Knox's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Dawson Knox is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 3.7 fantasy points for Dawson Knox, with 70 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market gives Dawson Knox a 14% chance to score a touchdown (14 market sources).
Player markets imply 1.6 fantasy points for Theo Johnson, with 100 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.
The market gives Theo Johnson a 10% chance to score a touchdown (15 market sources).
That puts Dawson Knox 2.1 points ahead of Theo Johnson on the market projections.
Injury status
Dawson Knox is not on the injury report.
Theo Johnson is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Dawson Knox played 69 percent of BUF snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 1 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.
Dawson Knox, Week 1 against HOU: 39 of 58 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 7 yards.
Dawson Knox, Week 2 against DET: 56 of 74 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 5 yards, 1 touchdown.
Dawson Knox, Week 3 against LAC: 46 of 66 snaps, 1 carry for 0 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.
Dawson Knox, Week 4 against NE: 36 of 59 snaps, 2 targets and 2 catches for 13 yards.
Through Week 4, Theo Johnson played 31 percent of NYG snaps, drew 5 percent of the targets, earned 6 percent of the air yards and had 3 percent of the red zone chances.
Theo Johnson, Week 1 against DAL: 32 of 69 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 9 yards.
Theo Johnson, Week 2 against LAR: 16 of 58 snaps, 4 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Theo Johnson, Week 3 against TEN: 11 of 64 snaps, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Theo Johnson, Week 4 against ARI: 22 of 67 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 11 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dawson Knox played 17 games for BUF and scored 103.7 PPR points, 6.1 a game, finishing TE28.
He caught 36 of 49 targets for 417 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 234 air yards.
He was on the field for 61 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Theo Johnson played 15 games for NYG and scored 127.8 PPR points, 8.5 a game, finishing TE18.
He caught 45 of 74 targets for 528 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 341 air yards.
He was on the field for 87 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
TE27 · BUF · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 168
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
Ranked behind
TE29 · NYG · bye unlisted
2026 vs anytime td line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 184
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 7
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board16
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 6 and tier 7
- Board size222 draftable players
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