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Start Keon Coleman or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Keon Coleman over Deebo Samuel Sr.

Market projects
10.1
fantasy pts
Snap share
63%
Through Week 4
Target share
14%
Through Week 4
Market projects
9.6
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Keon Coleman over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Keon Coleman at 10.1 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 9.6, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Keon Coleman's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Keon Coleman is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 10.1 fantasy points for Keon Coleman, with 70 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market gives Keon Coleman a 27% chance to score a touchdown (13 market sources).

Player markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 31.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 29% chance to score a touchdown (15, 10 and 15 market sources).

That puts Keon Coleman 0.5 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Keon Coleman is not on the injury report.

Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Keon Coleman played 63 percent of BUF snaps, drew 14 percent of the targets, earned 18 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Keon Coleman, Week 1 against HOU: 29 of 58 snaps, 1 target and 1 catch for 1 yards.

Keon Coleman, Week 2 against DET: 55 of 74 snaps, 6 targets and 6 catches for 63 yards.

Keon Coleman, Week 3 against LAC: 32 of 66 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 37 yards.

Keon Coleman, Week 4 against NE: 46 of 59 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 116 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keon Coleman played 13 games for BUF and scored 102.4 PPR points, 7.9 a game, finishing WR60.

He caught 38 of 59 targets for 404 yards and 4 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets and 316 air yards.

He was on the field for 64 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

WR27 · BUF · bye unlisted

2026 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
62
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

WR28 · SF · bye 8

2026 vs anytime td line 3-1

Overall rank
67
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board5
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size224 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board