Start Matthew Golden or Deebo Samuel Sr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Matthew Golden over Deebo Samuel Sr.
- Market projects
- 9.6
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 85%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 25%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 8.5
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Matthew Golden over Deebo Samuel Sr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Matthew Golden at 9.6 points and Deebo Samuel Sr. at 8.5, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Matthew Golden's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Matthew Golden is 60 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 9.6 fantasy points for Matthew Golden, with 60 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market gives Matthew Golden a 30% chance to score a touchdown (12 market sources).
Player markets imply 8.5 fantasy points for Deebo Samuel Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
The market has Deebo Samuel Sr. at 31.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 27% chance to score a touchdown (13, 11 and 12 market sources).
That puts Matthew Golden 1.1 points ahead of Deebo Samuel Sr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Matthew Golden is not on the injury report.
Deebo Samuel Sr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Matthew Golden played 85 percent of GB snaps, drew 25 percent of the targets, earned 39 percent of the air yards and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.
Matthew Golden, Week 1 against MIN: 56 of 68 snaps, 12 targets and 6 catches for 95 yards.
Matthew Golden, Week 2 against NYJ: 51 of 59 snaps, 6 targets and 4 catches for 58 yards.
Matthew Golden, Week 3 against ATL: 54 of 66 snaps, 12 targets and 5 catches for 100 yards, 1 touchdown.
Matthew Golden, Week 4 against TB: 53 of 60 snaps, 1 carry for 6 yards, 7 targets and 3 catches for 21 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Matthew Golden played 14 games for GB and scored 70.0 PPR points, 5.0 a game, finishing WR89.
He caught 29 of 44 targets for 361 yards and 0 touchdowns, with 2 red zone targets and 260 air yards.
He was on the field for 50 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR18 · GB · bye 11
2026 vs anytime td line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 42
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 12
Ranked behind
WR35 · SF · bye 8
2026 vs anytime td line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 86
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 15
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board44
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 12 and tier 15
- Board size221 draftable players
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