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Start Matthew Stafford or Deshaun Watson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Matthew Stafford over Deshaun Watson

Market projects
20.6
fantasy pts
Snap share
97%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Matthew Stafford over Deshaun Watson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Matthew Stafford at 20.6 points and Deshaun Watson at 16.9, a gap of 3.7.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Deshaun Watson at 203.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 20.6 fantasy points for Matthew Stafford, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Matthew Stafford at 279.5 passing yards, 2.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 9 and 13 market sources).

That puts Matthew Stafford 3.7 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on the market projections.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Matthew Stafford is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 139 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 1 against JAX: 51 of 51 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 205 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 38 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 3 against CAR: 69 of 70 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 47 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 4 against PIT: 64 of 64 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Through Week 4, Matthew Stafford played 97 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 169 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Matthew Stafford, Week 1 against SF: 51 of 61 snaps, 15 of 25 passes for 155 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 0 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 2 against NYG: 62 of 62 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 327 yards, 4 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 3 against DEN: 86 of 86 snaps, 30 of 53 passes for 390 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.

Matthew Stafford, Week 4 against PHI: 84 of 84 snaps, 32 of 51 passes for 317 yards, 0 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.

He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB3 · LAR · bye 11

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
34
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
3

Ranked behind

QB10 · CLE · bye unlisted

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
78
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board44
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 3 and tier 6
  • Board size258 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board