Start Trevor Lawrence or Deshaun Watson? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Deshaun Watson in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 points and Deshaun Watson at 16.9, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Trevor Lawrence at 226.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.9 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Deshaun Watson at 203.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (12, 16, 13 and 15 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.1 points ahead of Deshaun Watson on the market projections.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 139 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 1 against JAX: 51 of 51 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 205 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 38 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 3 against CAR: 69 of 70 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 47 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 4 against PIT: 64 of 64 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Bo Nix.
• Start Deshaun Watson over Brock Purdy.