Start Trevor Lawrence or Tyson Bagent? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Tyson Bagent in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Trevor Lawrence at 17.0 points and Tyson Bagent at 15.7, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Trevor Lawrence at 226.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 13.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.7 fantasy points for Tyson Bagent, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Tyson Bagent at 219.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (15, 15, 5 and 14 market sources).

That puts Trevor Lawrence 1.3 points ahead of Tyson Bagent on the market projections.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Tyson Bagent is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Trevor Lawrence played 96 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 113 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 2 against DEN: 59 of 59 snaps, 17 of 29 passes for 189 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 3 against NE: 59 of 62 snaps, 19 of 28 passes for 182 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 4 carries for 25 yards.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 4 against CIN: 61 of 61 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 227 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 2 yards.

Through Week 4, Tyson Bagent played 62 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 45 times and threw an average of 6.8 air yards per attempt.

Tyson Bagent, Week 2 against MIN: 10 of 74 snaps, 5 of 8 passes for 54 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

Tyson Bagent, Week 4 against NYJ: 93 of 93 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 268 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Tyson Bagent played 3 games for CHI and scored 2.6 PPR points, 0.9 a game, finishing QB67.

He completed 3 of 4 passes for 47 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 2 times for 7 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 1 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Trevor Lawrence over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Brock Purdy.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Bo Nix over Tyson Bagent.
• Start Brock Purdy over Tyson Bagent.