Convert a spread to a moneyline
A moneyline is the price on a team simply winning — enter a spread to see the moneyline it's worth, and the win chance behind it.
In the NFL, a 3-point favorite wins the game outright about 58.6% of the time — the same as a price of -141. If a sportsbook's price on that same team pays better than this, backing it to simply win is the better price of the two.
Minus for the favorite (-3 means winning by more than 3 points), plus for the underdog.
What an NFL spread is worth as a moneyline
Favorite's spread -1.5
- Win chance
- 54.3%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -119
Favorite's spread -2.5
- Win chance
- 57.2%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -133
Favorite's spread -3
- Win chance
- 58.6%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -141
Favorite's spread -3.5
- Win chance
- 60.0%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -150
Favorite's spread -4.5
- Win chance
- 62.7%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -168
Favorite's spread -6.5
- Win chance
- 68.0%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -213
Favorite's spread -7
- Win chance
- 69.3%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -226
Favorite's spread -7.5
- Win chance
- 70.6%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -240
Favorite's spread -10
- Win chance
- 76.5%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -325
Favorite's spread -14
- Win chance
- 84.4%
- Equivalent moneyline
- -540
The underdog is the other half of each row: getting 3 points, that team wins outright about 41.4% of the time, a price of +141.