Best Kalshi Bets Today

These are our real Kalshi prediction-market positions — the contracts our model actually bought today, posted daily and graded in public against official settlement. They are not picks for sale, and nothing is edited after the result is known. Losses stay on the page. See the full track record.

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Kalshi is a regulated exchange — you take the other side of a real order book, not a sportsbook line.

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Today's positions

Kyle Leahy — Pitching Outs Over 16.5

prop:pitching_outs · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
11
Avg price
46¢

Nolan Mclean — Pitching Strikeouts Over 6.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
10
Avg price
48¢

Sonny Gray — Pitching Strikeouts Over 4.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
9
Avg price
55¢

Eury Perez — Pitching Outs Over 17.5

prop:pitching_outs · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
10
Avg price
48¢

Noah Cameron — Pitching Strikeouts Over 4.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
9
Avg price
53¢

Graded WIN · +4.23u

Hunter Feduccia — Batting Hits Over 0.5

prop:batting_hits · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
10
Avg price
48¢

Graded WIN · +5.20u

NC Dinos

h2h · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
21
Avg price
47¢

Andre Pallante — Pitching Strikeouts Over 3.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

LOSS
Side
YES
Contracts
17
Avg price
59¢

Graded LOSS · -10.03u

Sean Burke — Pitching Outs Over 17.5

prop:pitching_outs · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
18
Avg price
56¢

Graded WIN · +7.92u

Javier Assad — Pitching Strikeouts Over 2.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
17
Avg price
59¢

Graded WIN · +6.97u

Rhett Lowder — Pitching Strikeouts Over 4.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
19
Avg price
54¢

Graded WIN · +8.74u

Noah Cameron — Pitching Strikeouts Under 4.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

LOSS
Side
NO
Contracts
21
Avg price
48¢

Graded LOSS · -10.08u

Tampa Bay Rays

h2h · BASEBALL

WIN
Side
YES
Contracts
17
Avg price
58¢

Graded WIN · +7.14u

Eury Perez — Pitching Strikeouts Over 5.5

prop:pitching_strikeouts · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
18
Avg price
56¢

Nolan Mclean — Pitching Outs Over 17.5

prop:pitching_outs · BASEBALL

OPEN
Side
YES
Contracts
17
Avg price
59¢

Our running Kalshi record

Computed from settled positions only. 1 unit = $1 of realized profit.

Record
152121
Hit rate
55.7%
Units
-16.84u
ROI
-2.63%

FAQ

What is Kalshi?

Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated prediction-market exchange where contracts settle at $1 if the event happens and $0 if it doesn't. Prices trade in cents, so a 62¢ contract implies roughly a 62% chance.

Are these real positions?

Yes. Every card on this page is a position our model actually took on Kalshi, written to our ledger at entry time with the contract count and price we paid. Nothing is added after the fact.

How are results graded?

A position is graded automatically against the market's official Kalshi settlement. A contract of the leg we bought pays $1; profit is payout minus cost, in dollars, with 1 unit = $1. Losses are shown with the same prominence as wins.

Is this free?

Yes. Parlae is free analytics and education. We don't sell picks and there is no paid tier for this page.

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