Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Deshaun Watson at 17.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 22nd highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 48th highest figure of the 183 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Deshaun Watson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 84th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 125th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Deshaun Watson has been on the field for 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 139 times and thrown 6.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 139 dropbacks and scrambled 13 times.

In Week 2 against TB he completed 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 24 yards.

In Week 3 against CAR he completed 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 9 times for 47 yards.

In Week 4 against PIT he completed 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 24 yards.

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

The season feed carries no line for Deshaun Watson in the last completed season.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Head to head

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Michael Penix Jr. is off in Week 11. No bye is listed for Deshaun Watson.

What would change the answer

2.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.