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Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 3?

Both players' season price from the sportsbooks, their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, with the draft market's own figures wherever it still has them.

Updated Sep 26, 2026 at 5:06 AM ET

Neither is in the consensus draft sample any more, and the books have not posted a whole price on Michael Penix Jr., so there is no current market order to give between these two. What follows is what each of them has already done.

More fantasy football tools and rankings, all priced from the same board.

QB29 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs pass yds line 5-10

Books price
12.9 pts a game
Draft pick
no consensus

QB30 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Books price
12.9 pts a game Wk 3 price
Overall rank
152
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The gap

  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Board size222 draftable players

Consensus average draft position has stopped updating on these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out rather than printed stale. The verdict line above restates the sportsbooks' price and nothing else.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 151st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 121.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 152nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 136.

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Geno Smith at 12.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 59th highest figure of the 170 players the books price.

No sportsbook has posted a season market for Michael Penix Jr., so the only market pricing him on this page is the draft room.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and thrown 6.6 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 74 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against TEN he completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.

The usage feed holds no snap or target counts for Michael Penix Jr. this season.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 1.0 a game between them.

Geno Smith finished QB23 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Geno Smith had 172 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 448 to 276.

Geno Smith had 1043 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 3025 to 1982.

Byes and availability

Geno Smith is off in Week 13 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

Michael Penix Jr. has no posted market, so one half of the evidence on this page exists for only one of them.

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Both players in full

Week 3 on the board

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