Should I start Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr. in Week 10?
Updated Nov 10, 3:21 PM ET. Week 11 answers post Tuesday.
Week 10 verdict
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Geno Smith
- Market projects
- 15.0
- recent weeks avg
- KC D vs QB
- 13.9
- 7th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 9
- Market projects
- 15.0
- recent weeks avg
- BUF D vs QB
- 19.0
- 10th most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 9
Start Michael Penix Jr. over Geno Smith in Week 10: both averaging 15.0 PPR points over recent weeks.
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Geno Smith?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games) and Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Geno Smith.
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Your next move
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Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB27 · NYJ · bye 13
2026 vs pass yds line 6-3
- Market-based projection
- 14.2 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 208
QB28 · ATL · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 2-5
- Market-based projection
- 15.0 pts a game Wk 9 price
- Overall rank
- 209
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The gap
- Board size307 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 208th overall on the rest of his evidence.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Michael Penix Jr., and the board ranks him 209th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
The market-based projection for Geno Smith is 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 0.5 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
Geno Smith's projection is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.
This season through Week 9
Through Week 9, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 310 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 53 of 310 dropbacks and scrambled 12 times.
In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.
In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.
In Week 9 against KC he completed 18 of 32 passes for 165 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 1 time for 8 yards.
Through Week 9, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 99 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 93 times and thrown 7.1 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 0 of 93 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.
In Week 7 against SF he completed 25 of 33 passes for 213 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 2 yards.
In Week 8 against TB he completed 8 of 24 passes for 125 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 4 interceptions and ran 5 times for 11 yards.
In Week 9 against CIN he completed 20 of 31 passes for 162 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 3 times for 50 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.
He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.
That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Geno Smith was available for 6 games more.
Head to head
In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 1.0 a game between them.
Geno Smith finished QB23 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.
Geno Smith had 172 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 448 to 276.
Geno Smith had 1043 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 3025 to 1982.
This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 99 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Geno Smith is off in Week 13 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Michael Penix Jr. for Geno Smith?
Not on these numbers alone. Michael Penix Jr. projects 103 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (14.7 a game over 7 games) and Geno Smith 105 (15.0 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Geno Smith.
Should I drop Geno Smith for Michael Penix Jr.?
Not on these numbers alone. Geno Smith projects 105 market-implied PPR points from Week 10 through Week 17 (15.0 a game over 7 games) and Michael Penix Jr. 103 (14.7 a game over 7 games), too close to separate, so the roster spot decides it. For Week 10 the call starts Michael Penix Jr. over Geno Smith.
Both players in full
Week 10 on the board
- Is Geno Smith playing Week 10?
- Is Michael Penix Jr. playing Week 10?
- Jets depth chart
- Falcons depth chart
- Week 10 QB rankings
- Week 10 fantasy rankings
- Week 10 start or sit
- Week 10 waiver wire
- Week 10 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 10
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 10 kicker rankings
- Week 10 defense rankings
