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Start Deshaun Watson or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Deshaun Watson over Michael Penix Jr.

Market projects
17.0
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 4
Market projects
16.2
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Deshaun Watson over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Deshaun Watson at 17.0 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 16.2, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Michael Penix Jr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Deshaun Watson, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Deshaun Watson at 203.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 25.5 rushing yards, with a 21% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 13 and 12 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 220.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 9% chance to score a touchdown (12, 12 and 11 market sources).

That puts Deshaun Watson 0.8 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Deshaun Watson is not on the injury report.

Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Deshaun Watson played 100 percent of CLE snaps, dropped back 139 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Deshaun Watson, Week 1 against JAX: 51 of 51 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 205 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 38 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 2 against TB: 58 of 58 snaps, 24 of 30 passes for 238 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 3 against CAR: 69 of 70 snaps, 16 of 30 passes for 144 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 47 yards.

Deshaun Watson, Week 4 against PIT: 64 of 64 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 268 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB11 · CLE · bye unlisted

2026 vs pass yds line 3-1

Overall rank
83
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

Ranked behind

QB26 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs pass yds line 4-5

Overall rank
123
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
7

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board40
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 6 and tier 7
  • Board size222 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board