Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Geno Smith at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 45th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

The player markets price Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 16 market sources. That is the 47th highest figure of the 185 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 122nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Penix Jr.: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 123rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and thrown 7.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 23 of 136 dropbacks and scrambled 8 times.

In Week 2 against GB he completed 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 17 yards.

In Week 3 against DET he completed 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 2 times for 12 yards.

In Week 4 against CHI he completed 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Through Week 4, Michael Penix Jr. has been on the field for 100 percent of ATL snaps, dropped back 46 times and thrown 6.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 2 of 46 dropbacks.

In Week 3 against GB he completed 18 of 25 passes for 256 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.

In Week 4 against NO he completed 15 of 20 passes for 223 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. played 9 games and scored 123.3 PPR points, 13.7 a game, finishing QB33.

He threw for 1982 yards on 276 attempts with 9 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran for 70 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 30.7 attempts a game at 7.2 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 93 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 6 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Michael Penix Jr. scored 13.7 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 1.0 a game between them.

Geno Smith finished QB23 that year and Michael Penix Jr. QB33.

Geno Smith had 172 more pass attempts than Michael Penix Jr., 448 to 276.

Geno Smith had 1043 more passing yards than Michael Penix Jr., 3025 to 1982.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Geno Smith is off in Week 13 and Michael Penix Jr. in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.0 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.