Should I start Daniel Jones or Geno Smith in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Daniel Jones's market-based projection is 14.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Geno Smith's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 6 market sources. That is the 46th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Daniel Jones, and the board ranks him 128th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 34.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Geno Smith, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Daniel Jones has been on the field for 98 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 299 times and thrown 7.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 56 of 299 dropbacks and scrambled 10 times.

In Week 6 against TEN he completed 22 of 41 passes for 269 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 30 yards.

In Week 7 against MIN he completed 13 of 22 passes for 108 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 4 times for 13 yards.

In Week 8 against JAX he completed 19 of 28 passes for 144 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions and ran 3 times for 8 yards.

Through Week 8, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 272 times and thrown 7.9 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 46 of 272 dropbacks and scrambled 11 times.

In Week 6 against NE he completed 20 of 30 passes for 252 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 0 yards.

In Week 7 against MIA he completed 23 of 30 passes for 287 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 1 yards.

In Week 8 against LV he completed 20 of 32 passes for 290 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Daniel Jones played 13 games and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He threw for 3101 yards on 384 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 29-30 attempts a game at 8.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Daniel Jones scored 18.0 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 5.3 a game between them.

Daniel Jones finished QB17 that year and Geno Smith QB23.

Geno Smith had 64 more pass attempts than Daniel Jones, 448 to 384.

Daniel Jones had 76 more passing yards than Geno Smith, 3101 to 3025.

This season Geno Smith holds the bigger snap share, 100 percent against 98 percent.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.