Daniel Jones or Geno Smith: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Daniel Jones at 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 37th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Geno Smith at 14.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 18 books. That is the 45th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Daniel Jones: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 120th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 77.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Geno Smith: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 131st overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 122.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Daniel Jones has been on the field for 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 34 times and thrown 6.5 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 34 dropbacks and scrambled 1 time.

In Week 1 against BAL he completed 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception and ran 1 time for 4 yards.

Through Week 1, Geno Smith has been on the field for 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 26 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 1 of 26 dropbacks and scrambled 2 times.

In Week 1 against TEN he completed 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 10 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Daniel Jones played 13 games and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He threw for 3101 yards on 384 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

That came to 29.5 attempts a game at 8.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Geno Smith played 15 games and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He threw for 3025 yards on 448 attempts with 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

That came to 29.9 attempts a game at 6.8 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith was available for 2 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Daniel Jones scored 18.0 PPR points a game and Geno Smith 12.7, 5.3 a game between them.

Daniel Jones finished QB17 that year and Geno Smith QB23.

Geno Smith had 64 more pass attempts than Daniel Jones, 448 to 384.

Daniel Jones had 76 more passing yards than Geno Smith, 3101 to 3025.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Both are off in Week 13, so a roster holding the pair has that one week to cover twice.

What would change the answer

0.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.