Start Geno Smith or Michael Penix Jr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Geno Smith over Michael Penix Jr.
- Market projects
- 14.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 14.5
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Geno Smith over Michael Penix Jr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Geno Smith at 14.5 points and Michael Penix Jr. at 14.5, a gap of 0.0. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Geno Smith at 206.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 10.5 rushing yards, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 16, 15 and 13 market sources).
Player markets imply 14.5 fantasy points for Michael Penix Jr., with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Michael Penix Jr. at 221.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15, 3 and 15 market sources).
That puts Geno Smith 0.0 points ahead of Michael Penix Jr. on the market projections.
Injury status
Geno Smith is not on the injury report.
Michael Penix Jr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 136 times and threw an average of 7.2 air yards per attempt.
Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 3 against DET: 66 of 66 snaps, 31 of 37 passes for 321 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 12 yards.
Geno Smith, Week 4 against CHI: 32 of 32 snaps, 8 of 15 passes for 119 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.
He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB24 · NYJ · bye 13
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 119
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
Ranked behind
QB25 · ATL · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 4-5
- Overall rank
- 121
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 8
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 8
- Board size222 draftable players
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