Zay Flowers or Mike Evans: who should I start in Week 5?

What the player markets price

The player markets price Zay Flowers at 14.6 PPR points a game, built from 4 markets across 15 market sources. That is the 43rd highest figure of the 200 players the market prices.

The player markets price Mike Evans at 10.9 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 75th highest figure of the 200 players the market prices.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zay Flowers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Mike Evans: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 53rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 4

Through Week 4, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 45 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 30 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 4 of the offence's 18 third down targets, had 0 of its 17 chances inside the five and seen 4 of its 15 two minute targets.

His 22 targets have averaged 10.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against IND he caught 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 3 against DAL he carried 1 time for 20 yards, caught 5 of 6 targets for 84 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against TEN he caught 8 of 10 targets for 118 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 4, Mike Evans has been on the field for 57 percent of SF snaps, drawn 22 percent of the targets and had 9 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 13 of the offence's 28 third down targets, had 1 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 24 targets have averaged 13.1 air yards.

In Week 2 against MIA he caught 3 of 3 targets for 54 yards and did not score.

In Week 3 against ARI he caught 3 of 6 targets for 34 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 4 against DEN he caught 5 of 8 targets for 76 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Mike Evans played 8 games and scored 84.8 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing WR76.

He caught 30 of 61 targets for 368 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets.

That came to 7.6 targets a game, a 49 percent catch rate and 12.3 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 65 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Zay Flowers was available for 9 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Mike Evans 10.6, 3.7 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 that year and Mike Evans WR76.

Zay Flowers had 57 more targets than Mike Evans, 118 to 61.

Zay Flowers had 843 more receiving yards than Mike Evans, 1211 to 368.

This season Mike Evans holds the bigger snap share, 57 percent against 45 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 30 percent against 22 percent.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Mike Evans in Week 8, so either can cover the other's bye.

Zay Flowers is listed as questionable on the injury report.

Mike Evans is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

3.8 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market price when it does.