Zay Flowers or Michael Wilson: who should I start?

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Zay Flowers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 158th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 42.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Michael Wilson: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 163rd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 97.

What the sportsbooks price

The books have Zay Flowers at 2.9 PPR points a game off 1 market across 3 books. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

The books have Michael Wilson at 1.4 PPR points a game off 1 market across 15 books. That is 30 percent of what a wide receiver's price needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.

Zay Flowers's price is not complete, so the two figures are not set against each other here.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Zay Flowers has been on the field for 29 percent of BAL snaps, drawn 25 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 6 third down targets, had 0 of its 4 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 4 two minute targets.

His 6 targets have averaged 15.2 air yards.

In Week 1 against IND he caught 5 of 6 targets for 150 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 1, Michael Wilson has been on the field for 85 percent of ARI snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 2 of the offence's 8 third down targets, had 0 of its 3 chances inside the five and seen 2 of its 6 two minute targets.

His 7 targets have averaged 11.9 air yards.

In Week 1 against LAC he caught 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Zay Flowers played 17 games and scored 243.3 PPR points, 14.3 a game, finishing WR7.

He caught 86 of 118 targets for 1211 yards and 5 touchdowns, with 10 red zone targets.

That came to 6.9 targets a game, a 73 percent catch rate and 14.1 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 86 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Michael Wilson played 17 games and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.

He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets.

That came to 7.4 targets a game, a 62 percent catch rate and 12.9 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Zay Flowers scored 14.3 PPR points a game and Michael Wilson 13.0, 1.3 a game between them.

Zay Flowers finished WR7 that year and Michael Wilson WR10.

Michael Wilson had 8 more targets than Zay Flowers, 126 to 118.

Zay Flowers had 205 more receiving yards than Michael Wilson, 1211 to 1006.

This season Michael Wilson holds the bigger snap share, 85 percent against 29 percent.

This season Zay Flowers holds the bigger target share, 25 percent against 19 percent.

Byes and availability

Zay Flowers is off in Week 13 and Michael Wilson in Week 14, so either can cover the other's bye.

Zay Flowers is listed as doubtful on the injury report.