Start Aaron Jones Sr. or Ashton Jeanty? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ashton Jeanty
- Market projects
- 17.0
- fantasy pts
- Market projects
- 16.5
- fantasy pts
- NE D vs RB
- 20.9
- 15th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 76%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Aaron Jones Sr. at 17.0 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.5, a gap of 0.5. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Jones Sr. at 72.5 rushing yards, 18.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 51% chance to score a touchdown (12, 14, 10 and 14 market sources).
Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Ashton Jeanty at 60.5 rushing yards, 23.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (13, 14, 11 and 15 market sources).
That puts Aaron Jones Sr. 0.5 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.
Injury status
Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 14
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
Ranked behind
RB11 · LV · bye 13
2026 vs carries line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 16
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tiersboth in tier 4
- Board size219 draftable players
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