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Start Ashton Jeanty or Braelon Allen? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Braelon Allen over Ashton Jeanty

Market projects
15.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
48%
Through Week 4
Target share
6%
Through Week 4
Sit

Ashton Jeanty

RB · LV · at NE

Market projects
16.5
fantasy pts
NE D vs RB
20.9
15th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Through Week 4
Target share
18%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Braelon Allen over Ashton Jeanty in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Braelon Allen at 15.9 points and Ashton Jeanty at 16.5, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Braelon Allen's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.5 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Ashton Jeanty at 60.5 rushing yards, 23.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 54% chance to score a touchdown (14, 14, 11 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 90 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Braelon Allen at 71.5 rushing yards, with a 49% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 15 market sources).

That puts Ashton Jeanty 0.6 points ahead of Braelon Allen on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

NE allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 15th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against NE and caught passes for 32 more yards.

Injury status

Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.

Braelon Allen is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Ashton Jeanty played 76 percent of LV snaps, took 70 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 54 percent of the red zone chances.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 3 against NO: 59 of 70 snaps, 19 carries for 56 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 37 yards.

Ashton Jeanty, Week 4 against KC: 56 of 84 snaps, 15 carries for 58 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 68 yards.

Through Week 4, Braelon Allen played 48 percent of NYJ snaps, took 34 percent of the carries, drew 6 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 2 against GB: 23 of 74 snaps, 5 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 8 yards, 1 touchdown.

Braelon Allen, Week 3 against DET: 34 of 66 snaps, 4 carries for 14 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 3 yards.

Braelon Allen, Week 4 against CHI: 30 of 32 snaps, 14 carries for 59 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.

He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB11 · LV · bye 13

2026 vs carries line 3-1

Overall rank
21
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

RB12 · NYJ · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
23
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board2
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 4
  • Board size221 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board