Start Jahmyr Gibbs or Aaron Jones Sr.? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr.

- Market projects
- 25.6
- fantasy pts
- ARI D vs RB
- 14.9
- 2nd fewest to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 78%
- Through Week 4
- Target share
- 18%
- Through Week 4

- Market projects
- 19.2
- fantasy pts
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Our Week 5 call
Start Jahmyr Gibbs over Aaron Jones Sr. in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Jahmyr Gibbs at 25.6 points and Aaron Jones Sr. at 19.2, a gap of 6.4. Aaron Jones Sr.'s number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 25.6 fantasy points for Jahmyr Gibbs, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market has Jahmyr Gibbs at 90.5 rushing yards, 36.5 receiving yards and 4.5 receptions, with a 75% chance to score a touchdown (11, 9, 8 and 12 market sources).
Player markets imply 19.2 fantasy points for Aaron Jones Sr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The market gives Aaron Jones Sr. a 58% chance to score a touchdown (8 market sources).
That puts Jahmyr Gibbs 6.4 points ahead of Aaron Jones Sr. on the market projections.
Week 5 matchups
Jahmyr Gibbs and DET visit ARI on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
ARI allowed 14.9 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 97 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against ARI and caught passes for 15 more yards.
Injury status
Jahmyr Gibbs is not on the injury report.
Aaron Jones Sr. is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Jahmyr Gibbs played 78 percent of DET snaps, took 83 percent of the carries, drew 18 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 1 against NO: 57 of 77 snaps, 29 carries for 156 yards, 5 targets and 5 catches for 30 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 2 against BUF: 54 of 65 snaps, 16 carries for 52 yards, 8 targets and 6 catches for 61 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 3 against NYJ: 45 of 65 snaps, 20 carries for 99 yards, 8 targets and 7 catches for 65 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Jahmyr Gibbs, Week 4 against CAR: 62 of 71 snaps, 15 carries for 46 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games for DET and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.
He ran 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 yards.
He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB1 · DET · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 1
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
RB9 · MIN · bye 6
2026 vs carries line 4-0
- Overall rank
- 17
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board16
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 4
- Board size220 draftable players
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