Start Joe Burrow or Aaron Rodgers? Week 5
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Joe Burrow over Aaron Rodgers
- Market projects
- 17.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 100%
- Through Week 4
- Market projects
- 16.2
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 99%
- Through Week 4
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Our Week 5 call
Start Joe Burrow over Aaron Rodgers in Week 5.
Market-based projections have Joe Burrow at 17.5 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.2, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.
What the market projects
Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Aaron Rodgers at 224.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 7% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17 and 15 market sources).
Player markets imply 17.5 fantasy points for Joe Burrow, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.
The market has Joe Burrow at 235.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (11, 12 and 11 market sources).
That puts Joe Burrow 1.3 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.
Injury status
Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.
Joe Burrow is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 5
Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.
Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.
Through Week 4, Joe Burrow played 100 percent of CIN snaps, dropped back 171 times and threw an average of 7.1 air yards per attempt.
Joe Burrow, Week 1 against TB: 64 of 64 snaps, 25 of 35 passes for 254 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 21 yards.
Joe Burrow, Week 2 against HOU: 60 of 60 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 207 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
Joe Burrow, Week 3 against PIT: 57 of 57 snaps, 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 13 yards.
Joe Burrow, Week 4 against JAX: 76 of 76 snaps, 39 of 54 passes for 428 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 6 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.
He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.
He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Joe Burrow played 8 games for CIN and scored 139.5 PPR points, 17.4 a game, finishing QB29.
He completed 173 of 259 passes for 1809 yards, 17 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 41 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 86 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Their other Week 5 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB8 · CIN · bye 6
2026 vs pass yds line 2-2
- Overall rank
- 68
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
QB16 · PIT · bye 9
2026 vs pass yds line 3-1
- Overall rank
- 95
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 6
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board27
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 6
- Board size223 draftable players
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