Start Kyler Murray or Aaron Rodgers? Week 5

Our Week 5 call

Start Kyler Murray over Aaron Rodgers in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Kyler Murray at 16.3 points and Aaron Rodgers at 16.2, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Aaron Rodgers's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Kyler Murray, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Kyler Murray at 213.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 15.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 13, 13 and 14 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The market has Aaron Rodgers at 224.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 8% chance to score a touchdown (15, 16 and 14 market sources).

That puts Kyler Murray 0.1 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the market projections.

Injury status

Kyler Murray is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Kyler Murray played 73 percent of MIN snaps, dropped back 84 times and threw an average of 6.5 air yards per attempt.

Kyler Murray, Week 1 against GB: 11 of 65 snaps, 3 of 5 passes for 18 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 9 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 3 against TB: 59 of 59 snaps, 15 of 29 passes for 168 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 17 yards.

Kyler Murray, Week 4 against MIA: 78 of 78 snaps, 27 of 37 passes for 247 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 21 yards.

Through Week 4, Aaron Rodgers played 99 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 167 times and threw an average of 9.4 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 3 against CIN: 62 of 62 snaps, 19 of 33 passes for 292 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 12 yards.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 4 against CLE: 72 of 72 snaps, 22 of 40 passes for 299 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Kyler Murray played 5 games for ARI and scored 80.8 PPR points, 16.2 a game, finishing QB38.

He completed 110 of 161 passes for 962 yards, 6 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 173 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

• Start Bo Nix over Kyler Murray.
• Start Brock Purdy over Kyler Murray.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Kyler Murray.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Brock Purdy over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Aaron Rodgers.