Start Alvin Kamara or Brian Robinson? Week 4

Our Week 4 call

Start Alvin Kamara over Brian Robinson in Week 4.

Market-based projections have Alvin Kamara at 11.7 points and Brian Robinson at 6.6, a gap of 5.0. Brian Robinson's number is scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 11.7 fantasy points for Alvin Kamara, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Alvin Kamara at 36.5 rushing yards, 15.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 39% chance to score a touchdown (18, 17, 14 and 18 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Brian Robinson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Brian Robinson at 29.5 rushing yards, with a 20% chance to score a touchdown (17 and 17 market sources).

That puts Alvin Kamara 5.0 points ahead of Brian Robinson on the market projections.

Injury status

Alvin Kamara was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brian Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Usage before Week 4

Through Week 3, Alvin Kamara played 31 percent of NO snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 10 percent of the targets and had 14 percent of the red zone chances.

Alvin Kamara, Week 2 against BAL: 20 of 68 snaps, 9 carries for 15 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 7 yards.

Alvin Kamara, Week 3 against LV: 24 of 74 snaps, 9 carries for 36 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards.

Through Week 3, Brian Robinson played 34 percent of ATL snaps, took 29 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 8 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 33 of 69 snaps, 11 carries for 51 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Alvin Kamara played 11 games for NO and scored 100.7 PPR points, 9.2 a game, finishing RB46.

He ran 131 times for 471 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 33 of 39 targets for 186 yards.

He was on the field for 63 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

How Week 4 went

Alvin Kamara scored 22.8 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 25.7.

The call was wrong: Brian Robinson outscored Alvin Kamara by 2.9.

Alvin Kamara finished 11.1 points above the 11.7 the market projected.

Alvin Kamara, Week 4 against ATL: 28 of 74 snaps, 7 carries for 23 yards, 7 targets and 5 catches for 35 yards, 2 touchdowns, 22.8 PPR points.

Alvin Kamara finished as the week's RB9 in PPR scoring.

Brian Robinson finished 19.1 points above the 6.6 the market projected.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns, 25.7 PPR points.

Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB8 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 4 calls

• Start Aaron Jones Sr. over Alvin Kamara.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Ashton Jeanty.
• Start Alvin Kamara over Bhayshul Tuten.
• Start Bijan Robinson over Brian Robinson.
• Start Blake Corum over Brian Robinson.
• Start Emanuel Wilson over Brian Robinson.