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Start Keaton Mitchell or Brian Robinson? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brian Robinson over Keaton Mitchell

Market projects
8.7
fantasy pts
Snap share
35%
Through Week 4
Target share
3%
Through Week 4
Market projects
7.2
fantasy pts
Snap share
33%
Through Week 4
Target share
9%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Brian Robinson over Keaton Mitchell in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Brian Robinson at 8.7 points and Keaton Mitchell at 7.2, a gap of 1.5. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Brian Robinson is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 8.7 fantasy points for Brian Robinson, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Brian Robinson at 35.5 rushing yards, with a 30% chance to score a touchdown (15 and 15 market sources).

Player markets imply 7.2 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Keaton Mitchell at 29.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (14 and 14 market sources).

That puts Brian Robinson 1.5 points ahead of Keaton Mitchell on the market projections.

Injury status

Brian Robinson is not on the injury report.

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Brian Robinson played 35 percent of ATL snaps, took 33 percent of the carries, drew 3 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 2 against CAR: 33 of 69 snaps, 11 carries for 51 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 3 against GB: 19 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 50 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown.

Brian Robinson, Week 4 against NO: 24 of 57 snaps, 14 carries for 62 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 5 yards, 3 touchdowns.

Through Week 4, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 24 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB36 · LAC · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
126
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB · ATL · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 4-0

Overall rank
not on the board
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
not tiered

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the boardone of them is not on the board
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersnot tiered
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board