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Start Keaton Mitchell or Chris Rodriguez Jr.? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Keaton Mitchell over Chris Rodriguez Jr.

Market projects
7.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
33%
Through Week 4
Target share
9%
Through Week 4
Market projects
6.6
fantasy pts

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Our Week 5 call

Start Keaton Mitchell over Chris Rodriguez Jr. in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Keaton Mitchell at 7.3 points and Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 6.6, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: not every stat the position needs is posted yet, so the rest is estimated from what is. Market coverage on Keaton Mitchell is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the market projects

Player markets imply 7.3 fantasy points for Keaton Mitchell, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Keaton Mitchell at 30.5 rushing yards, with a 25% chance to score a touchdown (12 and 11 market sources).

Player markets imply 6.6 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chris Rodriguez Jr. at 26.5 rushing yards, with a 24% chance to score a touchdown (9 and 14 market sources).

That puts Keaton Mitchell 0.7 points ahead of Chris Rodriguez Jr. on the market projections.

Injury status

Keaton Mitchell is not on the injury report.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Keaton Mitchell played 33 percent of LAC snaps, took 24 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 11 percent of the red zone chances.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 1 against ARI: 17 of 55 snaps, 4 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 2 against LV: 17 of 68 snaps, 5 carries for 24 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 15 yards.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 3 against BUF: 26 of 69 snaps, 8 carries for 52 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for -5 yards, 1 touchdown.

Keaton Mitchell, Week 4 against SEA: 26 of 71 snaps, 10 carries for 39 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 24 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Keaton Mitchell played 13 games for BAL and scored 55.4 PPR points, 4.3 a game, finishing RB67.

He ran 59 times for 341 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 9 of 12 targets for 63 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB36 · LAC · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
126
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
9

Ranked behind

RB37 · JAX · bye 7

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
135
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board9
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 9 and tier 10
  • Board size223 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board